The bookie of course. In fact, the book making profession is the best at setting odds and the doctor profession is the worst. This makes perfect sense if you think about it for even a second but it is still interesting to hear.
There are a lot of reasons why this is, but a major one is that bookies can remove ego from the equation and just set numbers based on facts. Removing ego is something that all people, in almost all professions, need to get better at doing.
Doug Hubbard provided that little fact and bunch more during his speech at the GSATC on Wednesday. Doug did a great job at trying to encourage IT professionals to base decisions on real, measurable numbers. Both his method and his reasoning were sound and I suggest everyone to pick up his book, 'How to Measure Anything' when it comes out in July. And rest assure, I will link to the GSATC podcast when it is up as well.
PS: The moral of the story- when it comes to doctors, get a second opinion no matter if the news is bad or good.